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Fantasy Soccer: How the Julio Jones commerce to Titans adjustments goal equation for Atlanta and Tennessee

For the previous week we have been speculating on what the Falcons offense would possibly seem like with out Julio Jones and what his arrival would possibly imply for somebody like A.J. Brown. Now we’re about to seek out out as a result of Jones is headed to the Tennessee Titans in a commerce. It is time to challenge what this commerce means for everybody’s Fantasy worth. Let’s begin with the person being traded. 

Jones had a tough time staying wholesome final yr, solely taking part in greater than half of his staff’s snaps in seven of 19 contests. However when he was wholesome, he was nonetheless superior. In these seven video games, he averaged precisely 100 yards per recreation which almost matches his averaged 101.3 for the reason that begin of 2013. It is onerous to challenge a 32-year-old with Jones’ harm to play 17 recreation however we must always challenge that when he is wholesome he’ll dominate as he has for the higher a part of the previous decade. My preliminary projections have him at WR16, inside one level per recreation of WR11. 

Julio Jones to the Titans!
We talk about each angle of the blockbuster commerce that sends Julio Jones to the Titans. The place are we rating Jones, Calvin Ridley, A.J. Brown, Russell Gage, Ryan Tannehill, Matt Ryan and Kyle Pitts?

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Jones’ arrival in Tennessee is phenomenal information for Ryan Tannehill, however combined for everybody else. The truth that the Titans had been prepared to commerce a Spherical 2 decide for Jones suggests a possible enhance in move quantity and Tannehill has already been some of the environment friendly passers within the NFL the previous two seasons. He is now a stable top-12 quarterback with reputable top-five upside if all the things goes his method.

Whereas Derrick Henry and A.J. Brown do see a slight ding of their projections due to the quantity Jones ought to command, however the consideration Jones sees might assist them keep what gave the impression to be unsustainable effectivity. Simply what number of instances can groups put eight within the field or double Brown if Jones is on the sector? Henry remains to be a top-five operating again in all codecs for me and Brown stays a top-six receiver. However Brown ought to most likely transfer down no less than one spot — if solely to make room for Calvin Ridley.

The story with the Falcons is the polar reverse of the Titans. Matt Ryan is damage badly by this transfer, however the remainder of the move catchers most likely want slightly increase. Everybody was much less environment friendly with Jones off the sector final yr, however Calvin Ridley now has a chance to be amongst the league leaders in targets…if Arthur Smith lets him.

One factor this commerce makes me query is simply how a lot the Falcons are going to move. Smith known as a really run-heavy offense in Tennessee whereas the Falcons had been one of many league’s most pass-happy below Dirk Koetter. If the Falcons are near the league lead in move makes an attempt then Ryan could possibly be nice and Ridley could possibly be the No. 1 receiver in Fantasy. However that loss in effectivity could possibly be an actual drawback if the staff is nearer to the league common by way of move price.

As of now, I’ve moved Ridley as much as WR5, one spot forward of Brown. I am additionally bumping up Mike Davis barely resulting from extra goal alternative and a greater risk for extra runs within the offense. I have not moved Kyle Pitts’ rating, as a result of his rating is much less about projection and extra about whether or not his elite profile can translate right into a rookie season like we have by no means seen from a good finish. If something, Jones’ departure could possibly be a unfavourable for him. It is undoubtedly a unfavourable for Ryan, who is just not a top-20 quarterback for me with out Jones. He definitely wasn’t last year.

Lastly, remember in regards to the peripheral gamers. Russell Gage is a good sleeper as a borderline No. 3 in PPR whereas Olamide Zaccheus is a deep sleeper and a Dynasty stash. On the flip aspect, this actually hurts no matter sleeper attraction Josh Reynolds and Dez Fitzpatrick had whereas additionally limiting the potential breakout for Anthony Firkser.

This commerce makes the Titans offense received lots higher and much more crowded, however the expertise is so good the effectivity might make up for it. In Atlanta, there’s extra alternative, we simply should hope that Pitts might be as marketed on day one, or the lack of Jones might actually put a ding in what we have counted on as a prolific move assault. 

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